Sunday, 23 December 2018 21:55

Joshua vs Whyte 2 odds: Explaining the lines

Written by

Last night, heavyweight contender Dillian Whyte KO'd rival Dereck Chisora to likely secure a rematch with consensus champion Anthony Joshua.

Why?

Look for WBC belt holder Deontay Wilder to rematch Tyson Fury in April or May, thus leaving the door open for Whyte to get another crack at Joshua.

“Dillian deserves a world title shot and he’s in his prime or approaching his prime, and that’s the time to fight," said promoter Eddie Hearn last night. "Him and ‘AJ’ is a brilliant fight.

“We haven’t got long (to make Joshua’s next fight). I’m sure we’ll be on the phone to Dillian within the next week. The priority is he wants to fight Wilder, but I don’t believe that will happen [in April]."

To his credit, Dillian has been on a roll. Prior to the emphatic KO of Chisora, Whyte defeated previous WBO title holder Joseph Parker and annihilated then-unbeaten Lucas Browne who'd previously won a fringe belt.

So, what are Whyte's chances against Joshua in a rematch?

Joshua vs Whyte 2 odds
As of December 23, 2018, Joshua is unsurprisingly the strong favorite.

SkyBet and betfair tab AJ with 1/4 and 1/5 odds, respectively. Whyte, who was stopped inside the distance by Joshua in 2015, is the underdog at 5/2 and 10/3 , respectively, by SkyBet and betfair.

Using SkyBet's betting line, a successful $100 wager on Joshua would yield a net gain of $25 while the same successful bet on Whyte would generate a net of 10 x more, $250.

Odds philosophy
In 2015, Joshua survived a scary moment in Round 2 to TKO Whyte in the Seventh of an entertaining, offensive bout that saw bombs landed by both fighters.

Whyte seemingly barely survived the opening stanza and was rocked throughout the fight but was crafty and resilient enough to hang around and fight back, and crack AJ with hard shots throughout.

Joshua and Whyte have improved since 2015. There's no doubt about that. However, oddsmakers don't believe Whyte has improved more than Joshua or enough to unseat AJ, despite remaining a fairly threatening opponent for AJ should they rematch.

Last night against a presumably faded Chisora, Whyte was behind on two scorecards heading into Round 11. Although Whyte ended the bout with a beautiful KO, Team Joshua is undoubtedly licking its chops at the prospect of facing Whyte again in a rematch as the latter certainly wasn't dominant nor did he look menacing until the end.

In addition, Joshua would enter their rematch knowing 3 things:

1- He's capable of KOing Whyte, 
2- He's capable of absorbing monstrous shots from Dillian, and
3- Whyte almost certainly needs a KO or a heap of knockdowns to win

The Joshua vs Whyte odds are well-placed.

The betting line isn't insurmountable, and neither are Whyte's chances.

After all, he connected on some fine powershots in their first fight and came back from a precarious state at the end of Round 1 to rock his foe in the second.

Dillian Whyte would certainly be a live dog in the rematch and could make it exciting and interesting, but oddsmakers clearly don’t see him winning.

"[Joshua vs Whyte] is 80 percent likely... on April 13," Hearn proclaimed.

Joshua vs Whyte highlights

 

 

SC RIGHT

 

 

Creed Movie