Sunday, 12 August 2018 04:33

Khan vs Brook: 3 reasons big fight is a long-shot anytime soon

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Promoter Eddie Hearn wants to arrange an all-British showdown between rivals and former champions Kell Brook and Amir Khan for December.

Will it happen then or at all?

(Image courtesy of Be Real)

Hearn is optimistic, perhaps hoping he can cash-out before Amir or Kell losses again and all interest in Khan vs Brook dissipates.

”You’re dealing with two people that don’t like each other,” Hearn spoke of Khan and Brook on Tha Boxing Voice. "I keep saying to both of them, ‘Guys, this is the biggest payday for the both of you.’ F—k the payday. I want to see it as a fan."

"I think they’re close to their primes still, so let’s do it now. Let’s not let someone get beat again. They both have come back with greats wins [Phil Lo Greco and Sergey Rabchenko]. Khan boxes [Samuel] Vargas on September the 8th in Birmingham. Let’s see him get a good win,” Hearn said.

Hearn gets an 'A' for effort but it's not happening in December.

Why?

Weight
Although both fighters could make the welterweight limit of 147, Brook, who now campaigns at 154, would be weight-drained at 147. Ideally, Khan vs Brook would take place at 154 or at a catchweight of 150 but it's not likely Amir would accept a fight with Brook above the welterweight limit.

"I think that fight has to take place at 147,” Hearn said to Tha Boxing Voice. ”I don’t think Amir Khan would take the fight at 150.

"'It’s got to be at 147. I’m not going to move my weight class for him,’” Hearn said.

But its likely Khan, who stands at nearly 5'10" and turns 32 in December, won't be able to comfortably hang at 147 much longer. Look for him to bolt to 154 by the end of 2019 or in 2020.

Money/Fighters' Stock
Khan vs Brook would have been a red-hot affair years ago but not so today. Khan hasn't defeated a top fighter in years and Brook was KO'd in back-to-back showdowns with Gennady Golovkin and Errol Spence in 2016 and 2017, respectively. And while there's no shame in losing to either of those fellas, Kell's stock has plunged.

Once bantered as boxing's best welterweight, Brook wouldn't be in the top five in the division if he returned to 147 today and would be the underdog against his 154 pound compadres Jermell Charlo, Jarrett Hurd, Erislandy Lara and Jaime Munguia.

Simply put, the fighters' declining stock would translate into less interest in Khan vs Brook which, of course, would mean diminished revenue.

Too risky right now
Piggybacking off the potential revenue of such a showdown is the all-important risk vs reward factor. Both fighters would need to be paid handsomely because Khan vs Brook could be a tremendous setback and perhaps a career-ender for the losers.

At this stage of their careers, a December loss would be catastrophic for Brook, who has been KO'd in 2 of his last 3 bouts, or Khan. And while that element would make the fight more intriguing, handlers for both teams understand the cons of such a showdown.

The loser would ultimately be branded as a fighter who 'can't win the big ones' and may be demoted to glorified gatekeeper status.

A Manny Pacquiao vs Khan showdown would make more sense for Amir. The money would be greater, and Khan wouldn't lose as much stock should he be beaten by the legend. And should Amir best PacMan, the spoils of victory would be far greater versus a win over Brook. Should Pacquiao vs Khan not happen in December, it would be in both fighters' best interest to continuing winning against lower level competition, boost their respective stock values and then fight again on the big stage against each other or someone else.

Khan vs Brook still makes sense
The fight certainly makes sense and may very well happen, especially if one of them wins a world title and becomes a commodity in boxing again; But at this moment, it's simply not a good time.

 

 

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