Thursday, 03 May 2018 00:00

Haye vs Bellew 2 odds: Why bettors totally dismiss first fight

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In March 2017, former heavyweight belt-holder David Haye was upset by Tony Bellew who was making his debut in boxing's glamour division.

A lot more flat-footed than usual, Haye was slightly ahead on points after five rounds but hurt his Achilles tendon while performing an uncomfortable move.

With limited mobility and leverage, David was subsequently little more than a sitting duck as Bellew took advantage of the situation and aggressively pursued the knockout. Badly compromised and continuously battered, Haye would survive until the 11th when his team threw in the towel after David was sent through the ropes by a Bellew combination.

On Saturday, Haye and Bellew will meet in a rematch and, once again, Haye is a strong favorite.

Haye vs Bellew 2 rematch odds
On March 20 per Bovada, David Haye was the -190 favorite to win while Tony Bellew was the +155 underdog. Hence, a $190 bet on Haye would yield a $100 profit while a $100 bet on Tony would produce a $155 revenue gain.

It's rare to have a fighter get stopped inside the distance and still be tagged the strong favorite in the immediate rematch.

Obviously, bettors believe Haye's injury was a bigger factor in his losing even though Bellew was holding his own prior to the tear or rupture.

Mike Tyson, after being stopped in 11 by Evander Holyfield, was still about a 2 to 1 favorite in their rematch. Obviously, oddsmakers thought Tyson took Holyfield lightly and would be more prepared in the rematch.

So, should odds be closer given Bellew was impressive from the start?

... Probably not.

Theory
Haye is known for pulling out of fights. In fact, Tony had predicted Haye would either quit or cancel prior to the first fight. As a result, it's likely Haye, given he was so uncharacteristically stationary and ploddy early on, entered the bout in a fairly compromised state, realizing his reputation would be at stake if he tried to postpone a bout due to injury yet again.

Perhaps a presumed affliction prior to the fight made him more vulnerable to an even worse injury during the bout?

Bettors are banking on the notion Haye was likely compromised from the start and thus ill-prepared to handle the assignment.

 

 

 

 

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