Golovkin vs Rubio odds: Fascinating

Joseph Herron Updated
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This Saturday night, October 18, from a sold out StubHub Center in Carson, California, Super WBA and IBO Middleweight Champion Gennady Golovkin (30-0, 27 KOs) will be making his return to the biggest stage of boxing, HBO Sports, in somewhat of a unification bout against interim WBC title holder Marco Antonio Rubio (59-6-1, 51 KOs) of Mexico.

Although both fighters are champions who possess impressive knock-out power, one combatant will enter the ring as the overwhelming betting favorite.

According to most Vegas Race and Sports Books, the betting line for Saturday night's main event has Golovkin featured at (-5000) with Rubio at a staggering (+1700). That means in order to win $100 by betting on the current WBA Middleweight Champ, one would have to risk a whopping $5000.00. And for every $100 bet on the interim WBC title holder, the gambler would win a hefty $1,700.00.

Keep in mind, the odds are strategically placed to encourage betting.

The opening line of total rounds for the twelve round Championship contest has the "Over/Under" set at 10.5 rounds, with the "Over" at (-270) and the "Under" at (+220). That means if you think the fight will be going at least 10.5 rounds, one would have to wager $270 to win $100. And if you think the bout will be stopped within 10.5 rounds, you would need to risk $100 to win $220.

Odds can shift depending on the amount of action in either direction, up until the start of the event.

So although most insiders believe Golovkin to be the heavy betting favorite to win the October 18 special attraction, the same ringside experts believe Rubio to be a very durable opponent and anticipate the Mexican born fighter to take Triple G deep into the championship rounds.

Why is Golovkin listed as the overwhelming favorite to win Saturday night's main event?

Most insiders believe Golovkin to be a near perfect fighting machine. With world class power, the capacity to fight proficiently at multiple ranges and angles, as well as the ability to take a good punch, Triple G doesn't seem to have any clear weaknesses leading into the highly anticipated match-up.

Although Rubio has won 16 of his previous 17 bouts, stopping 14 of those opponents within the distance, most feel that Gennady is currently competing at a much higher level with better technical skill, greater power, a better chin, and a higher level of confidence.

But why is there a shift in the odds, (Golovkin -5000) vs. (Rubio +1700)?

The reason for the shift in the difference between the odds, is that sports books typically only make a profit when the underdog wins. In line betting, the book understands that more people are going to wager on the favorite because he has the greater chance of winning. To cover their potential losses on the betting favorite, the book will attempt to influence betters to place money on the underdog, hence the more favorable payout.

Despite being a massive underdog leading into HBO televised event, Rubio is still a dangerous fighter who can put anyone's lights out with one perfectly timed shot.

And while Golovkin has faced some very good punchers in his professional career (Macklin, Rosado, and Stevens), many fight scribes have argued that his Mexican born opponent could be the hardest hitter Triple G has ever seen in the ring.

Will Marco Antonio Rubio shock the world and hand Gennady Golovkin his first loss as a professional? Even though the odds aren't in the interim WBC title holder's favor, anything can and often does happen in the ring.

Boxing has been dubbed the 'theater of the unexpected' for a reason.

Note from the editor: FightSaga.com does not condone gambling of any kind.

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