Golovkin vs. Geale: Prediction, keys to victory

Joseph Herron Updated
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It's often unfairly stated in sports and in life that good guys finish last. On Saturday, July 26th, the fight community will witness two of its finest ambassadors compete for Championship gold at the world renowned Madison Square Garden, as Gennady Golovkin defends his Super WBA Middleweight title against former IBF/WBA 160 pound champion Daniel Geale from Australia.

The highly anticipated main event of the evening will be broadcast this evening on HBO, with a start time of 9:30PM ET, and will feature a WBC title eliminator bout in the co-main event as well between Bryant Jennings and Mike Perez.

Although the Heavyweight special feature should be a very intriguing scrap, all eyes will be focused on the main event of the evening between Golovkin and Geale.

It's largely believed that the 33 year old Aussie will be Triple G's toughest test to date. Will the fight reflect that mentality, or will the feared puncher from Kazakhstan prove to be too much for his opponent once again?

Let's take a look at the "Keys to Victory" for both Middleweight fighters!!

Keys to Victory

Gennady Golovkin (29-0, 26 KOs) - The hard punching technician from Karaganda, Kazakhstan, is one of the most avoided fighters in the sport because of not only his one punch knock-out power, but his ability to fight proficiently at multiple ranges.

Although Gennady already had the ability to box from mid to long range exceptionally well upon moving to Big Bear Lake, CA to work with elite level trainer Abel Sanchez several years ago, the prolific boxing mentor has taught the heavy handed fighter how to effectively cut off the ring and work on the inside as well, consequently making the already dangerous Kazakh fighter an even more lethal adversary in the ring.

Gennady's understanding of balance, footwork, range, and angles makes him a complete fighting machine and a stylistic nightmare for most fighters in and around the 160 pound weight division.

To win this contest, Golovkin merely has to fight his fight and be patient. If Geale attempts to move forward and smother the heavily favored fighters offense, Triple G should use his underrated footwork to create distance between the two fighters and throw short, compact combinations to the body and head while the former Middleweight champ is in the direct line of fire or as he's closing the distance.

If the underrated title challenger decides to use his footwork and move laterally, Gennady must cut off the ring effectively and close the distance while working behind a sporadic series of jabs and feints to throw off Geale's timing and rhythm upon moving in, ultimately setting up his lethal power shots.

Triple G has the distinct power advantage, as well as the benefit of a deep, successful amateur pedigree. Despite not having a list of A level names on his resume, Golovkin has faced every conceivable style in the ring in his professional and amateur career.

If Gennady Golovkin is able to be "Triple G" in the ring this evening, look for the most feared man in boxing to take out the customarily durable "Real Deal" in the mid to late rounds of this twelve round slugfest.

Daniel Geale (30-2, 16 KOs) - The former IBF and WBA Middleweight title holder from down under is one of the more underrated fighters in all of boxing. While admittedly learning on the job throughout the great majority of his professional career, the 5'10" "ball of energy" is capable of giving his heavily favored opponent a lot of problems this evening...if he doesn't allow his bravery and toughness to dictate his fight plan in this all-action match-up.

To be successful against Gennady Golovkin, Daniel absolutely must mix strategies in this fight to off-set Triple G's strengths. His primary key to victory against the feared puncher is footwork, footwork, and more footwork.

The Aussie native must use consistent lateral movement from mid to long range, perpetually showing Gennady different distances and angles while sporadically jumping in and out of range, landing one or two shots at a time. Because Golovkin is a superb counter puncher, Geale must not stand in the direct line of fire or offer his opponent a large window of opportunity in which to counter.

If he merely attempts to box from the outside, Golovkin will eventually cut off the ring and close the distance and punish the brave Aussie native at close quarters. If Daniel attempts to aggressively pursue the underrated technician, Golovkin will use his footwork to time and pick him off as he's charging in range.

The "Thunder from Down Under" absolutely must show Gennady different strategies and fight styles throughout the twelve round contest in order to go the distance and possibly pull off the upset.

If Daniel Geale can frustrate Gennady Golovkin, using his footwork and ring intelligence to dictate the pace of the fight for all twelve rounds of this bout, the 33 year old fight veteran can once again claim the WBA Middleweight Championship!!

While Daniel Geale has the stamina and experience to pull of the upset this evening, the Aussie's undoing will be his heart and toughness in the ring. Geale is a warrior by nature and won't be able to resist the temptation of going toe to toe with the harder punching Gennady Golovkin.

Look for Triple G to hurt "The Real Deal" early and often in this fight, while finally closing the show in the mid to late rounds.

Prediction: Golovkin TKO 7 Geale


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