Canelo vs Chavez Jr odds make sense

Lee Cleveland Updated
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According to, Canelo is a sizeable favorite. The smaller Alvarez sits at (-850) while Chavez Jr is positioned at (+550) as of January 29.

So, who do you like for the May 6 superbout?

In the last 41/2 years, Canelo has had 10 bouts, losing only to Floyd Mayweather Jr in 2013. And while only 5 of his nine wins were knockouts, he's faced the likes of Miguel Cotto, Shane Mosley, Erislandy Lara and Austin Trout.

Chavez Jr was red hot until he tasted defeat for the first time against Sergio Martinez in September 2012. Since then, he's had problems making weight and getting in top shape, and has subsequently underfperformed in the ring.

Julio is 4-2 in his last six bouts but could arguably be 3-3 as his first win against Brian Vera was highly disputable.

Moreover, Chavez has had only 6 fights in the last 4 1/2 years and hasn't scored a knockout since Summer 2012 (Andy Lee).

Some question Chavez's heart and dedication while others insist he's already a shot fighter, compliments of the beating he took by Sergio Martinez.

Chavez may be bigger and stronger, but Canelo is believed to be much sharper, better skilled and more battle-tested in the ring.

Some question Chavez's ability to make the 164.5 pound catchweight and still be strong with while others insist he won't be able to reach it at all.

Catchweights, such as the one imposed for Canelo vs Chavez Jr in May, usually benefit the A-side fighter.

Now, Chavez is forced to make "weight loss" a primary concern. As a result, it may disrupt the flow of his normal training regimen and shift the focus from his opponent.

Incidentally, according to BoxingNews24, the catchweight fine is $1 Million per pound.

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