Arreola vs Kownacki odds: Shockingly one-sided?

Lee Cleveland Updated
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In a highly-anticipated heavyweight bout, 38 year old Chris Arreola (38-5-1, 33 KO) will face surging 30 year old Adam Kownacki (19-0, 15 KO) on August 3.

The Stakes: Look for the winner to catapult to the top 10 in all 4 sanctioning bodies. In fact, an Arreola win could set up a title shot next year. After all, he has name recognition as well as a formidable Mexican fan base and is believed to be shopworn. That combination of intangibles would make him attractive to handlers for Ruiz, Joshua, Fury or Wilder in stay-busy fight scenarios.

What makes this fight interesting?
For starters, Chris Arreola, one of the more colorful fighters of the last decade, is always intriguing and out of the ring and has faced a literal 'who's who' in the heavyweight division since 2008. He's had his ups and downs but insists he's dedicated to boxing like never before.

At 19-0, 15 KO, the 6'3"/ 191cm Kownacki has defeated the likes of Gerald Washington, Charles Martin and Artur Szpilka and is a fighter to be taken very seriously. Can a focused and re-dedicated Arreola defeated a younger, fresher opponent in Kownacki.

The odds say 'No.'

Arreola vs Kownacki odds
Bookies and fans give the veteran practically no chance to win as Arreola is roughly about a 12/1 underdog while his Polish American foe is a hefty 16/1 favorite.

The odds are a bit wide, especially given Arreola's experience. However, he hasn't sizzled that thrilling first round KO of Seth Mitchell in September 2013, arguably the high point of his career. Since then, he's 3-2-1-1NC.

He's had a mere 8 fights in nearly 6 years. Moreover, he looked less than stellar defeating 'opponent' Curtis Harper (then 12-3) in 2015 and drew with lightly regarded Fred Kassi (18-3) the same year. And while there's no shame in losing to a 2014 version of Bermane Stiverne and Deontay Wilder, Arreola, on paper, looks like a fighter on the decline.

But there's still hope for Arreola fans because Chris looked sensational in his latest bout, a 3rd round stoppage of previously unbeaten Jean Pierre Augustin (then 17-0-1) in March.

“I’m not only fighting to win, I’m fighting to look good,” Arreola said. “He came out here to make a name for himself using me, and it wasn’t going to happen. I’m still a heavyweight to be reckoned with. I’m title chasing, not check chasing. If I lose, I’m out.”

Fact: Kownacki hasn't faced an opponent as seasoned or dangerous as Arreola.

But, given the level of competition in their most recent bouts, Adam was still better. He made quick work of Gerald Washington (then (19-2-1, 12 KO) in January. Washington is big and strong and is certainly no slouch, so the early KO was impressive.

Given the intangibles and contrasting career trends to this point, Kownacki deserves to be a big favorite but 16/1 is pushing it.

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