Thursday, 30 November 2017 01:56

Joshua vs Parker odds: "I see something"

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The heavyweight unification title fight between WBA/IBF heavyweight champion Anthony Joshua and WBO belt holder Joseph Parker may be confirmed next week, per promoter Eddie Hearn.

And at this moment, it appears the fight will take place in March or April with the O2 Arena in London as the likely location.

Although money is still an obstacle, Teams Joshua and Parker have made fine progress in working towards a deal that will be acceptable to both sides. However, there's still a possibility a deal won't be cut. Should Joshua vs Parker not happen next, Joshua will likely face Dillian Whyte or Jarrell Miller.

Purse split
Look for Joshua to receive 65 to 75 percent of the purse because he's the much larger attraction. And while Anthony's greater accomplishments might play a small role in determining purse splits, it's very significant in setting the early betting lines.

Joshua vs Parker odds
As expected, Joshua is a huge favorite across the board. In addition to being more dominant as a pro, he boasts a deeper amateur pedigree and is bigger, stronger and more technically proficient.

Paddy Power and betfair list the Brit as a 1/20 favorite and the Kiwi a 9/1 underdog. And SkyBet is roughly the same, giving AJ 1/25 odds while the betting line for Parker sits at 8/1.

A successful Paddy Power or betfair $100 wager on Joshua would yield a mere $4 while the same successful bet on Parker would generate $900.

The Intangible
Ever since Joshua's successful title defense against Carlos Takem earlier this month, Parker has been chompin' at the bit to fight Joshua.

Why?

Let's face it, Joshua has dominated his opponents (sans all-time great Wlad Klitschko), while Parker, although unbeaten, has arguably benefitted from a few controversial decisions lately against opponents who were inferior to AJ's latest conquests. Hence, from a betting lines point of view, Joshua's four opponents would have been favored over Parker's.


So why is the Kiwi so hellbent of fighting Joshua in AJ’s native England when he could keep his title for another 6 to 8 months and face another marginal opponent instead? The odds are clearly stacked against the New Zealander.

Perhaps he sees a chink in Joshua's armor?

"I see something"
Let's cycle back all the way to 1936. The great Joe Louis, then an up-and-coming contender, faced veteran Max Schmeling who, as an 10 to 1 underdog, was thought to be just another stepping stone for the young Louis.

But Schmeling, days before the fight, appeared confident in the face of presumed annihilation. And when his swagger was addressed by reporters, he famously replied, "I see something."

111schmeling

A massive underdog, Schmeling would overcome the odds and go on to knockout the surging Louis in Round 8 of their first superfight.

Louis would exact revenge two years later.

Schmeling noticed that Louis, a righty, dropped his left after jabbing and was vulnerable to quick right counters. He also observed Joe was often lazy with his left, often holding it low enough to expose the chin even when defending.

Max capitalized on a chink in Joe's armor.

Did Team Parker see something in Joshua it believes its man can expose?

 
Lee Cleveland

Lee is Managing Editor of FightSaga.com, a student of the Sweet Science and longtime boxing fan.


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