Sunday, 19 November 2017 05:47

David Haye vs Tony Bellew rematch odds: Now that's surprising

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Following rumors last week that boxing star David Haye might have to pull out of his December 17th rematch with rival Tony Bellew, the betting lines haven't changed much.

In March, Haye presumably entered the Bellew fight in a compromised state and appeared to worsen the injury, a ruptured or torn Achilles tendon, during the bout. And despite supposed insider claims that he's not fully healed, the Hatmaker remains a wide favorite.

It's rare to have a fighter get stopped inside the distance and still be tagged the heavy favorite in the immediate rematch. Obviously, bettors believe Haye's injury was a bigger factor in his losing even though Bellew was holding his own prior to the tear or rupture. But what about the rumors and the fact he may come back too soon from such a debilitating injury?

Deja Vu?
It's likely Haye, given he was so uncharacteristically stationary and ploddy early on in March's bout, entered the fight in a compromised state, realizing his reputation would be at stake if he tried to postpone a bout due to injury yet again. Yes, Haye is known for pulling out of fights and, going forward, any big-name opponent might be leery of fighting him should he back out of the December 17 rematch, whether medically necessary or not.


Even if the rumors of Haye's injury aren't true or are exaggerated, what are the chances the status of his tendon will be questionable heading into the fight?

'
Achilles' is, ironically, the right word because David is so dependent on his feet, offensively and defensively.

With limited mobility and leverage, the 'Hayemaker' was little more than a sitting duck as Bellew took advantage of the situation and aggressively pursued the knockout. Badly compromised and subsequently battered, Haye managed to courageously survive until the 11th Round when his team threw in the towel after David was sent through the ropes by a Bellew combination.

Haye vs Bellew rematch odds
On October 30, David was roughly a 7/18 favorite while Bellew was the underdog at about 40/17. Hence, a $100 wager on Haye would have yielded $39 while the same bet on Tony would have netted $236. 


Today (November 19), about 4 weeks away, William Hill and skyBet have David as a 4/11 favorite while Bellew is at 9/4. A $100 wager on Haye would produce $36 while the same bet on Tony would generate $225.

The odds are a tiny bit tighter.

Given the nature of Haye's injury, the rumor, and the fact he's probably not in a position to cancel, the betting lines should be closer.

If David enters the fight with a vulnerable Achilles tendon again, look for him to attempt to KO Bellew early, before he aggravates it to the point where it'll slow him down.

 
Lee Cleveland

Lee is Managing Editor of FightSaga.com, a student of the Sweet Science and longtime boxing fan.


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