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Wilder vs Stiverne 2 odds blow away betting lines for first fight

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On November 4, undefeated WBC heavyweight champion Deontay "The Bronze Bomber"' Wilder (38-0, 37 KOs) defends his belt against mandatory challenger Bermane Stiverne (25-2-1, 21 KOs) in a rematch of their 2015 title clash.

And while Wilder cruised to a lopsided decision win, the scores don't accurately reflect the competitive nature of the bout. Stiverne, thus far, has been the toughest of Wilder's 38 opponents. In fact, Bermane is the only pro fighter to date to have gone the distance with Wilder. Nevertheless, Wilder's win was decisive if not dominant, as the former hurt Stiverne several times but never appeared to be in trouble himself.
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Scoring
118-109, 119-108 and 120-107
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Wilder vs Stiverne odds: First meeting
Entering their first bout, Wilder was a slight favorite across the board at (-150) while Stiverne was a rough (+160) underdog.


Wilder was the favorite because he entered the bout with a perfect 32-0 record and had stopped all of his opponents inside the distance. In fact, none of his 32 foes had seen a Round 5. Moreover, oddsmakers liked Wilder's amateur pedigree, as Deontay won a bronze medal at the 2008 Olympics as was believed to be more polished than Stiverne. And while Wilder's critics insisted he had yet to be battle-tested, it's difficult betting against a fella with those credentials.

Those who favored Bermane Stiverne (then 24-1-1, 21 KO) liked the fact he had two solid wins over then top-level heavyweight Chris Arreola who was believed to be head and shoulders above anyone Deontay had faced. In addition, rumors circulated about Deontay being severely hurt in sparring so some questioned his durability.

Wilder vs Stiverne 2 odds *(for November 4, 2017 rematch)
Updated: Nov 2, 3PM ET

The WBC champion is a 20 to 1 favorite while Stiverne is a 10 to 1 underdog according to bettors William Hill, SkyBet and betfair.  A successful $100 wager on Wilder would yield $5 while the same successful bet on Bermane would generate $1,000.   

Stiverne vs Wilder I odds (January 17, 2015)
For their first fight, Deontay Wilder was a slim (-150 to -175) favorite to unseat then-defending WBC heavyweight champion Bermane Stiverne. Back then, a successful $100 wager on Stiverne would have earned sums ranging from $120 to $130.

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Why is Wilder such as massive favorite given Stiverne held is own with Deontay three years ago and hasn't lost since?

Primary answer: Activity levels


Bermane, unbelievably, has fought only once since the Wilder. And even then, he struggled to earn a 10 round unanimous decision over journeyman Derric Rossy after being floored in the opening round.

Wilder, on the other hand, has defeated a slew of formidable, if not great, opponents over the last three years. And all via knockout.

Staying relatively active until late last year, he's made successful title defenses against Chris Arreola, Artur Szpilka, Johann Duhaupas, Gerald Washington and Eric Molina.

Secondary answer: Wilder clearly won the first fight and Stiverne hasn't gotten any better.

In their first bout, Wilder looked good, but not like the 'Superman' we had been accustomed to. Nevertheless, it was a convincing win in a "pretty good" fight that fell a little short of expectations in entertainment value.

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Wilder vs Stiverne 2 (stories) 
November 4, 2017
Showtime

9PM ET Eastern Time / 6PM PT
Barclays Center, NYC

Division: Heavyweight
Title: WBC
Champion: Wilder

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Wilder has improved by facing better opponents while a case can be made Stiverne has lost something since the Wilder battle. Keep in mind, even if Stiverne has gotten better (and he probably hasn't) since January 2015, has likely hasn't improved considerably more than Wilder?


Given all the data, the lopsided odds are well-placed and there's nothing to suggest Deontay shouldn't be at least a 25 to 1 favorite.

Only knock on Wilder (and it's not terribly bad)
A 'question mark' heading into their first fight, Deontay's athleticism, punching power and ring intelligence are now solidified. If there's a knock against Wilder, he's been touched-up a bit since his win over Stiverne. Hence, despite stopping all his opponents since inside the distance, he has looked uncharacteristically human at times against the top 20 heavyweights he's faced.


The big question
Heading into Wilder vs Stiverne 2, the big question will be: Will Deontay stop Bermane inside the distance? If he does, he will have stopped 100 percent (all 38) of his professional opponents.

The Wilder vs Stiverne 2 odds clearly reflect what both fighters have accomplished since their first meeting and, perhaps, their respective futures as heavyweight powerbrokers.

 
 
Lee Cleveland

Lee is Managing Editor of FightSaga.com, a student of the Sweet Science and longtime boxing fan.


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