Saturday, 26 August 2017 17:15

Cotto vs Kamegai odds: Remember Vargas vs Mayorga?

Written by

Tonight, future Hall of Famer and four division world champion Miguel Cotto will make his long awaited return to the ring at the StubHub Center in Carson, California opposite Yoshihiro Kamegai (27-3-3, 24 KO).

Cotto vs Kamegai, which will take place on HBO, is getting very little buzz thanks to the Floyd Mayweather vs Conor McGgregor showdown. However, it's a cool match-up as both guys are exciting to watch.

Given Miguel hasn't fought in nearly two years and is believed to be a bit past his prime, Kamegai might have a decent chance to orchestrate the upset. However, Cotto's two year hiatus is a bit deceptive because he was back in training late last year for a February 25th bout with James Kirkland that didn't materialize.

Cotto vs Kamegai odds
Not surprisingly, Cotto is a heavy favorite.

skyBET has Cotto slated at 2/9 while Kamegai is 10/3. Hence, a successful $100 bet on Cotto would net a $22 return while the same successful wager on Kamegai would yield a $333 profit.

More odds
William Hill

Cotto 2/9
Kamegai 14/5

Cotto 1/5
Kamegai 10/3

Given the intangibles, odds for Cotto vs Kamegai might be tempting if you're looking to throw down on the underdog.

The knock on Cotto
Miguel, for quite some time, seems to have had one foot out of boxing.

He's had a mere four fights since December 2012 and has been talking about retirement for over a year. In addition, hopes for a superfight with fight legend Juan Manuel Marquez were squashed when the latter recently announced his retirement from boxing. Add to that his diminished stock over the years and the perceived irrelevance of tonight's bout, and the writing is on the wall: Miguel Cotto is primed to be upset.

Kamegai is hungry and boasts an impressive knockouts-to-fights ratio, producing 24 knockouts in 27 wins. In addition, Kamegai has never been stopped inside the distance and has a big win over Jesus Soto Karass... And who can forget his bout with Robert Guerrero in 2014 where Yoshihiro dropped a decision in an entertaining classic?

(Cotto vs Kamegai stories)

A rangier fighter than Cotto, Kamegai is a power puncher who overwhelms his opponent with crisp, accurate punching. What he lacks is the speed, athleticism and ions of experience that Cotto boasts.  Make no mistake, stylistically, the match-up favors Cotto.

But, remember Vargas vs Mayorga?
In 2007, boxing star Fernando Vargas picked Ricardo Mayorga for his 'Farewell' bout and lost a shocking majority decision. Team Vargas thought Mayorga would be a fine 'opponent' given his ability to sell a fight and the fact he'd been previously KO'd by other stars, Oscar De La Hoya and Felix Trinidad.

Yes, Cotto is still far and away the favorite but because of the circumstances surrounding the fight, Kamegai has a fine chance of registering the upset.

Lee Cleveland

Lee is Managing Editor of, a student of the Sweet Science and longtime boxing fan.