Saturday, 22 April 2017 16:38

Porter vs Berto: Odds, prediction and what's on the line

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Tonight, Shawn Porter (26-2-1, 16 KOs) will face Andre Berto (31-4, 24 KOs) in a battle of former welterweight titleholders. 

And while the outcome isn't certain, one thing is a near certainty - Excitement.

Both fellas are action-packed fighters who typically give a fine show.

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Porter vs Berto
Date: Saturday April 22, 2017
Fight Card Time: 9:30pm ET (Main event to start later)
TV: Showtime (U.S.)

Location: Brooklyn, New York
Venue: Barclays Center

Division: Welterweight
Titles: None
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Undercard
Jermell Charlo (28-0) vs Charles Hatley (26-1-1)
For Charlo's WBC junior middleweight title

Amanda Serrano (31-1-1) vs Dahiana Santana (35-8)
For the vacant WBO World female bantamweight title

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So who do you like in the main event?

Many are inclined to pick Porter because he's been more active and successful in recent years. But Berto showed in his 2015 TKO of Josesito Lopez that he still has a flare for the dramatic. Moreover, Andre is as durable as they come.

Porter vs Berto odds
As of fight afternoon, skyBET has Porter as a strong 1/7 favorite while Berto is the underdog at 9/2. Hence, a $100 wager on Shawn would yield a $14 net while the same bet on Berto would produce a $450 net.

Oddsmakers like Porter's record and accomplishments heading into this bout. He has two razor thin decision losses to Kell Brook and Keith Thurman - Two current welterweight beltholders. Let's face it, Shawn could conceivably be 28-0. 

Porter also owns one-sided decision wins over Devon Alexander and Adrien Broner, and has a decisive KO win over Paul Malignaggi who is very tough to stop inside the distance.

Shawn has been more active the last several years and has the superior resume.

Fact: Berto is just 4-4 in his last 8 bouts.

Will Porter prove the oddsmakers right?

At 33, this might be Andre Berto's last big chance for stardom. Remember when Andre was considered the next Floyd Mayweather? He was boxing's best prospect at one time. His fall from pugilistic grace started in 2011 when he lost a decision verdict to Victor Ortiz in one of the most exciting welterweight fights in recent memory.

Following that disappointment were back-to-back losses to Robert Guerreo and Jesus Soto Karass in 2012 and 2013. But both fights were thrilling wars.

Fact: Andre has fought just 7 times since his first loss to Victor Ortiz in April 2011, and his most recent bout was nearly a year ago (April 30) in which he stopped Ortiz in their rematch of fallen stars.

But as a winner of 31 of 35 fights, Berto isn't exactly chopped liver. He's still a hungry, athletically-gifted fighter who has shared the ring with the likes of Floyd Mayweather, Josesito Lopez, Carlos Quintana, Luis Callazo and Robert Guerrero. If Porter doesn't bring his A game tonight, an upset is certainly in the cards.

What's at-stake?
The winner of Berto vs Porter will be the mandatory opponent for unified WBC/WBA welterweight champion Keith Thurman.

"Berto and Porter have never been in a boring fight. They're fighting to get back to the top of the mountain," Showtime Sports executive vice president and general manager Stephen Espinoza said via ESPN. "There is plenty at stake."

"The number one thing for me is to win this fight and show Keith Thurman that I'm ready for the rematch," Porter told ESPN. "There is nothing allowed but positive energy. We're almost there. I'm definitely excited.

Porter vs Berto prediction
Both fighters are offensive-minded but at this stage Porter seems more polished. It's a lot easier to imagine Porter outboxing Berto than the reverse. In order to win, Berto will have to knockout his opponent or score a few 10-8 rounds. Conversely, it's not easy imagining the rugged, durable Berto getting stopped inside the distance.

Berto will land some heavy shots but absorb more. Look for Porter to be the eventual-aggressor as the fight persists. He will hurt Berto on a few occasions and may even score a knockdown or two en-route to a comfortable unanimous decision win in a fight that will deliver some exciting excganges.

Berto vs Ortiz 2 highlights - April 2016

 
 
Lee Cleveland

Lee is Managing Editor of FightSaga.com, a student of the Sweet Science and longtime boxing fan.

A gym rat in the 1990s, Lee was trained by 1976 Olympic Silver Medalist Charles Mooney and several retired seasoned pros. He was also a sparring partner for former WBA Super Middleweight Champion Steve Little who upset Michael Nunn for the WBA Super Middleweight Title in '94.

Lee created FightSaga.com to honor and preserve boxing's rich heritage, chronicle the achievements of top fighters, celebrate the legacy of big fights and provide a fun, educational experience for fight fans.  

 Fightsagacom@gmail.com 

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