Wednesday, 01 March 2017 05:16

Garcia vs Thurman odds: What they tell us

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On Saturday, two welterweight belt-holders will face each other in a unification showdown.

Keith Thurman (27-0, 22 KO) vs Danny Garcia (33-0, 19 KO) is finally upon us.

Who are you picking and why?

Oddmakers have Thurman installed as the slight favorite. For instance, bet365 has Keith at -225 while Garcia is at +175. And their odds, for the most part, represent the industry standard.

Why is Thurman the favorite?

Size - Oddsmakers think Thurman is naturally bigger, stronger and more comfortable at welterweight than Garcia who recently moved up from jr welterweight.

Questionable decisions - While there are no controversies in Keith's wins, two of Danny's wins were controversial as many believed he was outworked by Mauricio Herrera in 2014 and outboxed by Lamont Peterson in 2015. Those question marks raise a few doubts and make Garcia, in oddsmakers' eyes, a bit more vulnerable.

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Keith Thurman vs. Danny Garcia
WBA/WBC welterweight unification

Saturday, March 4
9PM ET / 6PM PT
CBS (US)
Favorite: Thurman
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The Jab - Both fighters are 'masters of versatility' in that they can adapt to situations very well, and box and slug. However, Keith's jab is awesome and is seen as the differentiator, versatility-wise. Should it go the distance, the Thurman jab may be the weapon that wins Keith some very close rounds.

Shawn Porter - Thurman's narrow win over Shawn Porter last year showed he can beat a legitimate Top 5 welterweight. Keith is believed to be better than anyone Danny has faced thus far but Garcia may not be the best opponent Thurman has faced.

Strategy

I think this fight will be determined by Garcia's boxing ability and Thurman's power, aggression and timing. Look for Danny to attempt to stick and move and fight from mid to long range just as he did in his upset win over KO artist Lucas Matthysse in 2013. Thurman, on the other hand, will try to slow the pace, get in close and find openings to land his power stuff just as he did successfully in his 2013 encounter with Diego Chaves, an awkward opponent who gave a fine account of himself against Thurman in the early rounds.

More Thurman vs Garcia odds

  • skyBET: 4/9 Thurman , 7/4 Garcia
  • BetStars: 2/5 Thurman, 9/5 Garcia
  • William Hill: 1/2 Thurman, 7/4 Garcia
Lee Cleveland

Lee is Managing Editor of FightSaga.com, a student of the Sweet Science and longtime boxing fan.


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